Banking Wants to be Free, But Free Banking Wants to be Dangerous
Plus! Delta and Travel; Currency Disputes; The Very Short Recession; The Lumpy Recovery; Self-Driving Cars: Zero-to-One or One-to-N?
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Weber and Traeger: From Selling Durables to Selling Durably
Unlock Premium to read this post →Plus! Airport Nationalism; Wages & Benefits; Business Travel Returns; The Branded Inbox; Fees
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Illumina: "View Source" for Life
Read this article →Plus! The Balance Sheet-Constrained Bank; The Global Kuznets Curve in Action; Net Zero; Real-Time; Aviations Big Two (Plus One)
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AWS. Scale.AI. Lego.
Unlock Premium to read this post →Plus! Shale; Specialized Fintech; Cherry-Picking; Vegas; Overdrafts
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Building Parallel Financial Systems
Read this article →Plus! Tethers and Dollars; The Hotel Shortage; The Credit Reopening; Ransomware Acceleration; Churn, Margins, and Habits
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Stripe and Solid-State Economics
Read this article →Plus! Hulu's Regulatory Arbitrage; Post-Archegos; Patents; Emissions: a Global Problem
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Accidental Banks Are Worth More Than Intentional Ones
Unlock Premium to read this post →Plus! Tapping SPAC Brakes; Trust-Busting and Variance; Limits to Asset Class Stickiness; The Bullwhip Effect Arrives
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Partial Deregulation as an Antipattern
Read this article →Plus! China's Inflation Inflection; The Next Amazon IPO; The First Shopify Pivot; The Other Two Supply Chains; Non-Monolithic China
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Understanding Archegos
Unlock Premium to read this post →Plus! Predictions are Hard, Except About the Distant Future; Defense Tech; Supply Chains are Not Trivial; Another Year Without a Summer (Of Tourism, In Some Places); Many Chip Supply Chains
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Why A "Commodity Supercycle" is Unlikely
Unlock Premium to read this post →Plus! The Rise and Fall and Slight Rise of American Growth; Financial Engineering; Financial Engineering, Pt. 2; The Decline in Federal R&D is Closer to a Shift; Reflexive Palantir; Hotel Flipping
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Cricut and Hardware Economics
Unlock Premium to read this post →Plus! The Asset-Light Theory of Human Civilization; Dark Patterns; Maturity Transformation at the Met; Amazon's Regulatory Arbitrage; Leaving Google; Supermicro, Again
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A Strange Cycle for Cyclical Stocks
Become a member to gain access →Plus! Amazon's Full-Stack Advantage; Industrial Policy in the US and China; Vaccine Diplomacy; Privatization in India; Privatization in Nevada; Hysteresis; Carbon; Teslacoin